Looking at index moving averages

I was looking at some charts the other day and figured I had better post them.  I run the basic equity indexes on a six month charts with three moving averages: 20, 50 and the 200 day.  The shorter averages slopes are 0 or negative and the 20 is approaching the 50.  Neither of these developments are good signals for being long equities. 

SP 500


EFA


QQQQ


Russell 2000


Emerging Markets


In my opinion, we are going to test the 200 day moving average at a minimum.  If President Obama makes a significant pivot to the middle like President Clinton it will only be a test of the 200 day moving average.  If his administration stays the course, we could have only hoped for a test, because it will be much worse. 





 

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