Baseline charts for the New Year
We should look at the SP 500 and its components first. In the past two years all but XLY and XLF out-performed the SPY. In the long-term those two will come back and make lots of money for those brave enough. I find the range of returns from -10 percent for XLP to nearly -70 percent for XLF amazing, what is even more amazing it has contracted from July 2007 when XLE was nearly up 60 percent and XLF was down 60 percent.
Next, a quick look at Market Capitalization performance for the last two years.
Pretty tight therefore look for Small and Mid Cap to out-perform in the long-term from here.
Next, how does US compare to the world?
Pretty tight, so risk is on sale!
Lastly Domestic fixed income.
Did I say risk is on sale. Sell long-duration Treasuries NOW! If you have a real appetite for risk, TBT.
Next, a quick look at Market Capitalization performance for the last two years.
Pretty tight therefore look for Small and Mid Cap to out-perform in the long-term from here.
Next, how does US compare to the world?
Pretty tight, so risk is on sale!
Lastly Domestic fixed income.
Did I say risk is on sale. Sell long-duration Treasuries NOW! If you have a real appetite for risk, TBT.
Humm... interesting,
Keep up the good work,
Thanks for writing about it
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