Start thinking now about the 4th quarter
It is getting late in September and I am in the process of diagramming my top-down economic view of the world for the full purpose of rebalancing my portfolios for the fourth quarter and next twelve months. The first thing is to write down all the current issues.
Domestic Issues
Congress fixing the “mortgage crisis”
Falling Dollar
Rising oil and commodity prices
Christmas sales
Changing interest rates
Employment
Mortgage defaults
How cold is winter
Energy supplies
Local elections and National campaigns
International
Issues
Domestic demand growth in BRIC countries
From left field
Oil prices
Bird Flu – virus outbreak
Natural causes – Indonesian earthquakes, freak hurricane, asteroids

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